It celebrated the production of its first cares less than two months ago. Deliveries have just begun. But for company with so few vehicles on the road, Lucid Motors is generating a lot of buzz. Its debut sedan, the $ 169,000 Lucid Air Dream Edition, has been hailed for its workmanship and the ability to travel a record 520 miles, or 840 kilometers, on single charge.
Motor trend magazine
declared it the car of the year and Lucid’s shares have more than double in the
last month valuing the company at $ 85 billion more than Ford Motor’s. The
accolades are a tribute to Lucid’s Chief Executive, Peter Rawlinsons, an auto
industry veteran who engineered the Model S, the sedan that established Tesla as
a serious carmaker.
He hopes that the Air will do the same for Lucid. The first
product defines the brand Mr. Rawlinson, 64, said recently in an interview at
Lucid’s factory in the Arizona desert. Well need to create a technological tour
de force, and I think that’s what we’ve got in Lucid Air, we define our bands,
we define our future. Lucid illustrates investors’ enthusiasm for everything
having to do with electric vehicles. But the list of things that could go wrong
is long-44 pages long, in the mandatory disclosure of potential risks in
Lucid’s stock offering prospectus.
The documents notes that the company lacks experience
in mass-producing cars, that it has no service network and that it is highly
dependent on Mr. Rawlinson. There are also plenty of investors who see a teach
bubble in the making and are betting it will burst, short sellers, who se
borrowed stocks to make money if a company’s share price goes down, have
wagered $.2.35 billion that Lucid won’t be able to maintain its lofty valuation,
according to data from S3 Partners, a New York firm that tracks short sales.
Lucid shares
languished for several months after the company made its stock market debut in
July. They began climbing in October,
after Road & Track declared that the Air was “so good it should make Tesla
sweat. Mr. Rawlinson’s credibility with investors stems largely from his
resume. He worked at Jagur and was chief engineer of Lotus, the British sports
car maker. His name is one dozens of patents for battery technology or other
innovations. Mr. Rawlinson oversaw Lucid’s development of the batter used by
all the terms in the Formula Electric Vehicle Racing Circuit.
But mass producing automobiles is challenge of a
different magnitude. Initial versions of the Air cost almost $ 35,000/- more
than a top of the line Tesla Model S Plaid. To be profitable, Lucid must appeal
to more than just a per wealthy elite. Lucid’s biggest risks are getting to
scale and capacity said Daniel Ives a senior analyst at Wedbush Securities who
follows the electric car industry. The first phase has been significantly
successful. Now it’s about the next level of adoption.
Lucid plans to offer a version of the Air next year
that will cost $ 70,000/- after a federal tax credit. And it intends to produce
5,00,000/- cars a year by 2030 with a lineup that is to include a sport utility
vehicle and a pickup. The company had spent $4.2 billion by June, and its
prospectus noted that it might be years away from making money. To avoid the
problems that plagued Tesla in its early days, when for a while it was
assembling cars in tents, Mr. Rawlinson is relying on people like Eric Bach,
Lucid’s chief engineer. Mr. Bach another Tesla refugee, has worked at
Volkswagen and takes a very German approach to manufacturing. He can ex-pound
at length on the art of achieving narrow body gaps, the spaces between sheet
metal that to engineers are a measure of quality.
We are not intending to put any tents up Mr. Bach
said, except perhaps to have a party. The market it increasingly crowded.
Automakers like Ford, General Motors and Volkswagen have invested heavily in
electric vehicles. Mr. Rawlinson has confounded naysayers before, some people
doubted that the Model S would be a success or said Lucid could not build a car
with range of 500 miles and get it out of the factory this year. There is a
track record here of me making claims which seem unrealistic but are absolutely
based on science, he said.
Success would have an extra bit of sweetness for Mr.
Rawlinson, who left Tesla amid rancor with Elon Mush, the company’s mercurial
chief executive. The main reason he quit Tesla in 2012, Mr. Rawlinson said was
to care for his ailing mother in Wales, but he added that he had also felt mistreated
by Mr. Musk. I had a boss who was not treating me very well, he said declining
to elaborate on the nature of the mistreatment.
Mr. Rawlinson, who comes across as good humored but
intense and detail oriented, is self-effacing in a way that Mr. Musk is not. He
says, for example, that he wants to hire people who are smarter than he is. If
I have done my bob right, I will be the dumbest guy left in the room, and I can
walk out and throw away the key and leave them to it, Mr. Rawlinson said. After
it began in 2007 as a batter maker named Atieva, the company had several
near-death experiences. Atieva shifted focus toward building electric vehicles
in 2014 and changed name to Lucid two years later. It struggled to raise enough
money for the capital intensive business of building cars, but was saved in
2018 by a $ 1 billion investment from the Public Investment Fund of Saudi
Arabia, which remains a majority shareholder.
Everyone says, Oh, the tough thing about a start-up
is getting an assembly line going. Mr. Rawlinson said of the experience. Let me
tell you what’s tough getting finance for the startup not to go bankrupt. Stock
bonuses tied to Lucid’s share price are likely to make Mr. Rawlinson a
billionaire if he is not already. But Alejandro Agag, the founder and chairman
of Formula E, said he did not think that Mr. Rawlinson was motivated by money.
“Of course, it is not to have money” Mr. Agag said what drives him is to make
the best car. Lucid started delivering the first of 520 Air Dream Edition cars
to customers later last month, with plans to ramp up production and deliveries
of three other Air models soon.
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